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AI predicts who will win the 2028 US election: The President and VP duo will surprise you
AI has predicted the outcome of the 2028 US presidential election, and the projected winner may surprise you.
Election forecasts have long grabbed public attention, with polls, pundits, and analysts constantly debating which candidates might rise to the top.
Now, AI has entered the conversation after Elon Musk’s Grok chatbot was used to simulate the next race for the White House.
AI Maps Out a Possible 2028 Race
A YouTuber from the Election Time channel fed the AI tool a mix of primary polling data, betting odds, and state projections in order to forecast a possible outcome for the 2028 election.
Grok then examined the potential candidates from both major parties and produced a state-by-state election map.
It ran the simulation without President Donald Trump, who cannot run again because of the constitutional limit on presidential terms.
That rule is outlined in the 22nd Amendment, which states: "No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once."
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On the Democratic side, potential candidates included Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Josh Shapiro, JB Pritzker, Cory Booker, and Tim Walz.
According to the February 12 polling data used in the model, Harris was leading among Democrats with 32 percent support, followed by Newsom at 23.8 percent.
Betting site Kalshi also gave Harris a 56 percent chance of entering the race, per The Times of India.
For Republicans, the simulation included JD Vance, Donald Trump Jr., Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Robert Kennedy Jr., Nikki Haley, Ted Cruz, and Vivek Ramaswamy.
In the early projections, Vance led the Republican field with 49.2 percent support, while Trump Jr. had 19.5 percent.
The Predicted Winner Of The Election
The AI simulation ultimately modeled a head-to-head matchup between Vance and Harris.
Per Grok’s analysis, the 41-year-old VP would win the election with 326 electoral votes compared with Harris’ 212.
The projection suggested Vance would carry the traditional Republican strongholds, including Utah, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska outside its second district, Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, Indiana, South Carolina, and Ohio.
Meanwhile, the 61-year-old former VP was shown maintaining Democratic strongholds, including California, Washington, Hawaii, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, the District of Columbia, and Maine’s first district.
The model also predicted that Vance would flip Minnesota and New Hampshire, giving him a larger electoral college victory than Trump achieved in 2024.
Vance is widely seen as a potential Republican frontrunner once Trump leaves office due to term limits. However, he has said he is focused on his current role for now.
“I would say that I’ve thought about what that moment might look like after the midterm elections, sure," he said, per PEOPLE. "But I also, whenever I think about that, I try to put it out of my head and remind myself the American people elected me to do a job right now. And my job is to do it."
Secretary of State Marco Rubio has even indicated that he would support Vance if he runs, saying: "If JD Vance runs for president, he’s going to be our nominee, and I’ll be one of the first people to support him.”
On the Democratic side, several high-profile names are being discussed as likely contenders.
Harris has said she is “not done” with public service and would “possibly” seek the presidency again, and California Governor Gavin Newsom has also left the door open, telling The Guardian: "If someone else doesn't have that fire and sense of purpose and mission then yeah, I could see myself stepping into that void."
Ocasio-Cortez has also once joked about early polling that suggested she could defeat Vance: "But let the record show: I would stomp him. I would stomp him!"