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Man gets unexpected response after asking AI who would win if Trump ran against Obama in 2028
A political “what if” is gaining traction online — and one YouTube creator is leaning all the way into it.
Popular YouTube creator, I Ask Ai, released a video that explores a hypothetical election where the rules change, a third presidential term becomes legal, and a 2028 race turns into something the internet can barely resist: Donald Trump vs. Barack Obama.
The Video’s Premise: Forget the 22nd Amendment and Picture a 2028 Free-for-All
The host urged viewers to mentally set aside the normal guardrails for the sake of the thought experiment. “So for the next 15 minutes, forget all about the 22nd Amendment. Just put it aside or somewhere.”
In that imagined world, Trump runs again — and the host claims the conversation almost immediately drifts to one specific opponent.
“And once you open that door, there's really only one name that people bring up. Yes, this man. Every time Trump talks about a third term, Barack Obama's name comes up instantly.”
According to the video, the idea is already fueling internet culture: “The memes are already everywhere.”
The creator also noted that Michelle Obama has been asked about it, saying she would try to dissuade him: “Even Michelle was asked about it and basically said she'd try to talk him out of it.”
That set the stage for the video’s main mission: “So today, I want to actually play this out. What would their campaigns look like? What would each of them promise? What would the country even feel like in that moment? And most importantly, who would actually win?”
Obama’s Hypothetical 2028 Comeback Campaign: A Direct Counterpunch to Trump
The AI predicted a campaign that is fundamentally a referendum on Trump.
“If a third term were allowed and Obama ran, his entire campaign would be framed around Trump,” it said.
Rather than running on isolation or purely policy-based messaging, the AI said it would focus on reversal and repair — “undoing, correcting, or stabilizing what he would describe as damage from an extended Trump era.”
The AI said Obama would likely argue that the country has drifted into “division, executive overreach, and institutional strain,” and would frame his pitch around restoring stability: “The pitch would center on restoring guard rails, strengthening democratic norms, and lowering the political temperature.”
Key themes would include “Voting rights, judicial independence, and limits on presidential authority,” presented not as partisan dreams but as “necessary repairs rather than partisan wish lists.”
On policy, the AI predicted a head-to-head contrast: Against Trump’s tariffs and nationalism, Obama would lean into “global alliances and trade partnerships.”
Against strict immigration enforcement, Obama would argue for “structured reform with humanitarian elements.”
On “climate and health care,” the AI said he’d promise “expand federal involvement and long-term investment,” described as “rebuilding and modernizing rather than dismantling.”
The AI also forecast a foreign policy agenda focused on restoring alliances, especially “with NATO and long-term partners,” with an overall message of “credibility abroad and stability at home.”
It described the campaign as less about new inventions and more about steering the country’s direction: “Overall, the campaign would be less about new groundbreaking ideas and more about direction.”
And it predicted Obama would frame himself as the stabilizing alternative: “He would present himself as the counterweight, steady where Trump is confrontational, institutional where Trump is disruptive, making the race a direct referendum on two very different governing styles.”
The host reacted enthusiastically, imagining the spectacle: “Man, that actually sounds pretty good, really. I mean, just imagine the entire MAGA base on one side, normal people on the other, and the whole world covering every single move. That would be truly monumental.”
AI’s Election Forecast: A “Fairly Confident” Obama Win
Then came the big question: “So, here's the big question. Who does Chat GPT think Americans would actually vote for and why?”
The AI predicted a political firestorm of a campaign: “If we're imagining a legal third-term scenario in 2028 with Trump and Obama both on the ballot, it would easily be one of the most polarized elections in modern American history.”
It said it wouldn’t feel normal — “This wouldn't feel routine or procedural.” Instead, “It would feel like two political eras colliding headon for control of the country's direction.”
The AI projected massive turnout and an intense environment from the start, and said Obama’s presence would electrify the left: “Obama entering the race would immediately energize the left in a way few other candidates could.” It predicted it would feel “historic,” not like a standard nominee situation.
The AI also outlined which voting blocs would likely surge behind Obama, including younger voters returning to the polls, Black voters and suburban voters consolidating, and moderates seeing him as a reset after prolonged tension.
It said fundraising would spike, party unity would strengthen quickly, and Democratic infighting would shrink because the nominee would be widely accepted.
Trump, the AI noted, would still be backed by the full conservative ecosystem: “His campaign would have the full backing of the administration and the conservative movement.”
It named prominent Republicans expected to campaign for him — “Figures like Vance, Rubio, and other prominent Republican leaders would campaign aggressively for him.”
It also predicted “Conservative media would be fully aligned,” with a disciplined Republican ground operation and an intensely loyal base.
But the AI kept returning to fundamentals for incumbents, stressing the role of approval ratings, economic mood, and overall calm: “Historically, sitting presidents win when approval is near or above 50%. The economy feels steady and the country feels relatively calm. That's the usual formula.”
If approval stayed low and the country felt exhausted by conflict — with “ongoing scandals, public protests, or a general sense of national fatigue after extended political conflict” — the AI argued the classic reelection conditions wouldn’t exist.
In that case, the AI’s call was clear: “In that environment, I wouldn't see this as razor thin. I'd lean toward a fairly confident Obama win.”